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Home PC climate modeling flawedOops! Wrong data in the
package
Spiked had an fascinating piece on a home computer climate modeling
program that just happened to be seriously
flawed.
The project's principal investigator, Dr Myles Allen, found a silver lining to this climate-modelling cloud. 'What we've seen in the runs is the unadulterated impact of global warming which means that all of the models have warmed up too fast', he told BBC News. 'At some point in the future, we may have done an experiment like this anyway.' The real problem is not an individual cock-up in one computer program, but the excessive reliance on models in the broader debate about global warming. That is not to say models are completely without value. It is reasonable to put together our best guesses as regards future trends like gas emissions, population change, solar outputs and so on with what we know about climate physics to produce some broad estimates about what might happen next. But these are sophisticated guesstimates, no more. They allow us to think through what are the parameters of the discussion; they do not represent viable predictions of the future. There is an interesting commentary at Wendy McElroy's site. Worth your time. 
Posted: Tue - April 25, 2006 at 04:30 AM
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 Pagan Vigil
Pagan philosopher, libertarian, and part-time trouble maker, NeoWayland watches for threats to individual freedom or personal responsiblity. There's more to life than just black and white, using only extremes just increases the problems.  My Thinking Blogger Nominees
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